Henan Jianye 0-1 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
2.89
6+ Goals
9%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.75
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
9%
4.98
X/2
13%
7.22
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.65
2/2
15%
4.9
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.01/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.77
+2% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
24.1 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.79 xG 1.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
285 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-2 HT 0-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
23.02.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
21.08.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-1 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNK
28.07.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
09.04.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
04.11.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 5-1 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
0-1
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.41 xG 0.77
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
382 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan squeezed past Henan Jianye 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Shandong Taishan made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 59% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 41%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.41 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Henan Jianye and 2.00 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan?

Henan Jianye 0-1 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 40%, draw 28%, Shandong Taishan 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ BTTS Yes
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