Henan Jianye 2-2 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.7
2-3 Goals
40%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.75
1/X
11%
12.25
X/1
16%
6.05
X/2
8%
6.56
X/X
14%
6.18
2/1
9%
22.0
2/2
20%
3.7
2/X
3%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.75 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.7pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.46/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.26
-9% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -63%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.8 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
234 Passes 349
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
21.08.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-1 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNK
28.07.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
09.04.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
04.11.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 5-1 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
07.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
2-2
AWAY Shandong Taishan
3.87 xG 2.36
69% Ball Possession 31%
26 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
395 Passes 159
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
46 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye and Shandong Taishan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 69% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 31%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 3.87 to 2.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.83 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan?

Henan Jianye 2-2 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 36%, draw 28%, Shandong Taishan 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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