Shenzhen FC 1-2 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.67
6+ Goals
14%
6.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.52
1/2
7%
19.6
1/X
9%
16.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
13%
10.45
X/2
7%
4.38
X/X
9%
6.64
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
35%
2.02
2/X
8%
14.7
Value flag · X/1 at 10.45 — our 13% vs market 6.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.52/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.67
-4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +105%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
22.9 Crosses 21.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.81 xG 3.03
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
299 Passes 446
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
13.09.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
05.05.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-6 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
16.07.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
22.04.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-2 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
13.11.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
1-2
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.72 xG 1.15
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
167 Passes 567
67% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 23
6 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port squeezed past Shenzhen FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 28% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 72%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.72 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shenzhen FC and 3.50 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Shanghai Port?

Shenzhen FC 1-2 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 25%, draw 26%, Shanghai Port 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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