Beijing Guoan 2-1 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.9
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.47
6+ Goals
15%
5.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.73
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
21%
4.32
X/2
7%
13.5
X/X
10%
7.71
2/1 EV+ ✓
7%
18.75
2/2
7%
9.72
2/X
4%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.75 — our 7% vs market 3.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-4.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.04/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.07
+16% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / -34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
23.0 Crosses 28.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.08 xG 0.94
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
458 Passes 162
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 0-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-1
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.42 xG 0.82
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
478 Passes 128
90% Pass Accuracy 64%
49 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan edged past Yunnan Yukun 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 73% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 27%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.42 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Beijing Guoan's control.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Beijing Guoan 2-1 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 61%, draw 20%, Yunnan Yukun 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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