Yunnan Yukun 0-2 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.88
1/2
6%
22.1
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
14%
9.02
X/2
14%
4.35
X/X
10%
5.34
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.26
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -51%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0-2
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.94 xG 1.08
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
162 Passes 458
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan got the better of Yunnan Yukun 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 32% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 68%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.94 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?

Yunnan Yukun 0-2 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 32%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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