Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.33
Over 2.5
67%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.48
2-3 Goals
32%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
6+ Goals
19%
7.23
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.1
X/1
14%
3.76
X/2
4%
18.9
X/X
6%
7.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.6
2/2
4%
16.3
2/X
7%
24.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.6 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
72%
-3.0pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.7pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
39%
-6.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
61%
+6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.84/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.46
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
26.6 Crosses 17.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 1.01
43% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 365
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.07.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-2 HT 1-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
22.07.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
26.04.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
03.11.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
05.08.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
2-1
AWAY Changchun YaTai
3.15 xG 0.24
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
379 Passes 207
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
40 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua squeezed past Changchun YaTai 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 62% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 38%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 3.15 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Shenhua's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 0.67 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Changchun YaTai?

Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 69%, draw 18%, Changchun YaTai 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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