Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.85
X/1
15%
3.73
X/2
8%
15.15
X/X
9%
6.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
2/2
4%
13.4
2/X
5%
22.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.35/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.93
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +118%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
24.2 Crosses 9.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
01.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.08.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.05.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
23.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
29.10.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-0
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.08 xG 1.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
340 Passes 230
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
51 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Wuhan Three Towns 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 58% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 42%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.08 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.17 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 61%, draw 22%, Wuhan Three Towns 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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