Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 20 Jul 2024

Wuhan Three Towns
1-1 HT 0-0
Chengdu Qianbao
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.15
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
3%
14.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
9.18
X/2
16%
4.12
X/X
17%
4.67
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.31
2/X
5%
13.8
Value flag · X/1 at 9.18 — our 16% vs market 7.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wuhan Three Towns v Chengdu Qianbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / -47%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
– Crosses 18.4
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 342
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.08.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.05.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
23.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
29.10.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
08.12.2021 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN2

Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.19 xG 1.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
319 Passes 319
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 50% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 50%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.19 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.33 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 28%, draw 25%, Chengdu Qianbao 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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