Shandong Taishan 3-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
17%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 34%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.77 xG 1.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
369 Passes 220
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
09.04.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
04.11.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 5-1 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
07.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
28.06.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-0 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
08.06.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 4-1 HT 3-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan beat Henan Jianye 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.33 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Henan Jianye?

Shandong Taishan 3-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 47%, draw 28%, Henan Jianye 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ BTTS No
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