Nanjing City 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
9.57
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
54%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.07
2-3 Goals
34%
2.2
4-5 Goals
25%
2.45
6+ Goals
17%
4.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
18.5
1/2
7%
21.0
1/X
8%
25.5
X/1
7%
26.5
X/2
14%
3.58
X/X
12%
10.6
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.35
2/X
5%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
7%
+14.2pp
24%
Draw
14%
+10.4pp
54%
Away Win
79%
-24.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 84%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.17/3.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.65
+71% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.05.2021 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN2
30.04.2021 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 2-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao nicked a narrow win over Nanjing City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nanjing City and 1.00 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Nanjing City 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 22%, draw 24%, Chengdu Qianbao 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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