Henan Jianye 1-0 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.39
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
11%
6.42
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.99
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.63/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.69
+31% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +71%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
18.6 Crosses 10.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.11 xG 1.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
240 Passes 347
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
04.11.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 5-1 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
07.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
28.06.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-0 HT 2-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
08.06.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 4-1 HT 3-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
06.11.2021 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-4 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-0
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.67 xG 1.76
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
122 Passes 483
61% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye edged past Shandong Taishan 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 27% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 73%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.67 to 1.76 — on chances, Shandong Taishan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Henan Jianye and 2.50 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan?

Henan Jianye 1-0 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 42%, draw 24%, Shandong Taishan 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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