Zhejiang G. FC 1-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Jul 2024

Zhejiang G. FC
1-3 HT 1-1
Chengdu Qianbao
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.8
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.35
No
48%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.98
2-3 Goals
37%
2.19
4-5 Goals
25%
2.46
6+ Goals
12%
4.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.06
1/2
4%
20.3
1/X
4%
12.65
X/1
13%
7.18
X/2
11%
5.34
X/X
8%
6.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
26.0
2/2
22%
2.72
2/X
4%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
32%
+15.1pp
16%
Draw
23%
-7.0pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
70%
-18.4pp
48%
BTTS No
30%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zhejiang G. FC v Chengdu Qianbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
– Crosses 19.3
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
336 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
29.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
15.12.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
24.10.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
18.12.2021 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 HT 0-2 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN2

Zhejiang G. FC 1-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
1-3
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.79 xG 3.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
263 Passes 333
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao got the better of Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zhejiang G. FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 46% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 54%, shots finished 12-24, expected goals 1.79 to 3.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.50 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Zhejiang G. FC 1-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 47%, draw 16%, Chengdu Qianbao 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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