Qingdao Jonoon 4-2 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
13%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✓
34%
2.96
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
6%
5.11
X/2
12%
6.73
X/X
11%
5.16
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
16%
4.36
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 1/1 at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
243 Passes 299
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 HT 3-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
30.04.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
10.04.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.08.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
14.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
4-2
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
2.11 xG 2.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
266 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon saw off Meizhou Hakka 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Qingdao Jonoon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 48% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 52%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.11 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.00 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka?

Qingdao Jonoon 4-2 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 47%, draw 21%, Meizhou Hakka 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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