Meizhou Hakka 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.54
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.05
X/1
18%
4.23
X/2
6%
7.78
X/X
14%
4.82
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
16%
5.92
2/X
3%
14.6
Value flag · 1/X at 14.05 — our 9% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
Crosses 18.4
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.77 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 Passes 288
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.04.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.08.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
14.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.36 xG 0.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
89 Passes 95
40% Pass Accuracy 40%
11 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka and Qingdao Jonoon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Meizhou Hakka at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 49% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 51%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.36 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 0.67 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Meizhou Hakka 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 48%, draw 26%, Qingdao Jonoon 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka)
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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