Zhejiang G. FC 4-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
19%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.09 — our 30% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.55
X/2
6%
8.36
X/X EV+ ✗
18%
5.93
2/1
3%
20.65
2/2
15%
5.45
2/X
5%
13.6
Value flag · X/X at 5.93 — our 18% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.9pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+17.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-17.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.9pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.92/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.81
+28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
9.6 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.09.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
09.06.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-2 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
03.07.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
11.06.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
4-1
AWAY Henan Jianye
2.53 xG 1.94
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
409 Passes 201
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC cruised past Henan Jianye 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 63% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 37%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.53 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.50 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Henan Jianye?

Zhejiang G. FC 4-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 42%, draw 31%, Henan Jianye 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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