Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Jul 2024

Qingdao Jonoon
3-3 HT 3-1
Meizhou Hakka
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.82
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.44
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
3%
13.65
X/1
23%
4.35
X/2
7%
8.09
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
14%
5.81
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
51%
+5.8pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qingdao Jonoon v Meizhou Hakka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 28%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.77/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.17
+70% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
17.8 Crosses 15.0
3.8 Yellow Cards 4.5

Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.85 xG 0.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
240 Passes 298
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.04.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
10.04.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.08.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
14.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN

Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 Meizhou Hakka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3-3
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
2.54 xG 2.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
255 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Meizhou Hakka couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Qingdao Jonoon carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 47% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 53%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.54 to 2.36.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 0.50 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka?

Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 57%, draw 18%, Meizhou Hakka 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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