Henan Jianye 2-1 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.89
2-3 Goals
36%
2.05
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
5.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.51
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
30.5
1/X
4%
12.3
X/1
12%
4.97
X/2
5%
7.98
X/X
14%
5.94
2/1
7%
20.75
2/2
18%
4.84
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.0pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.8 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
226 Passes 339
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 4-1 HT 3-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
30.09.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
09.06.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-2 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
03.07.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
11.06.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
2-1
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
0.76 xG 1.57
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 10
146 Passes 452
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 36
22 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye edged past Zhejiang G. FC 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 30% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 70%, shots finished 12-24, expected goals 0.76 to 1.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured Zhejiang G. FC.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Henan Jianye and 2.00 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Henan Jianye 2-1 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 44%, draw 24%, Zhejiang G. FC 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
21 Jul 2024
13:00 Qingdao Jonoon vs Meizhou Hakka Analysis →
14:00 Nantong Zhiyun vs Shandong Taishan Analysis →
14:35 Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda Analysis →
14:35 Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon Analysis →
14:35 Shenzhen FC vs Changchun YaTai Analysis →