Beijing Guoan 2-0 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
10%
4.36
X/2
11%
9.0
X/X
9%
5.48
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
11%
6.26
2/X
5%
13.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 26%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.77/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.28
-22% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
33.1 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
328 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.04.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
09.08.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
10.05.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
03.07.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
13.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
09.08.2021 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-0
AWAY Tianjin Teda
2.08 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
384 Passes 386
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan beat Tianjin Teda 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 50% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 50%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.08 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beijing Guoan and 0.83 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda?

Beijing Guoan 2-0 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 52%, draw 18%, Tianjin Teda 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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