Tianjin Teda 0-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 26% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.48
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
9%
7.77
X/2
17%
4.57
X/X
11%
4.95
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.59
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.16/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.21
-19% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
16.7 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
254 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
10.05.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
03.07.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
13.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
09.08.2021 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
19.07.2021 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
0-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
2.10 xG 0.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
33 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 8
398 Passes 271
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
42 Box Touches 11
52 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan nicked a narrow win over Tianjin Teda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 58% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 42%, shots finished 33-7, expected goals 2.10 to 0.45 — on chances, Tianjin Teda could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tianjin Teda and 0.83 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan?

Tianjin Teda 0-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 31%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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