Shandong Taishan 3-1 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
23.6
X/1
13%
3.33
X/2
6%
19.95
X/X
9%
7.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.45
2/2
9%
16.75
2/X
5%
24.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 12% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-15.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.84/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.64
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
25.5 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.75 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
368 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 8
35 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 6
16.07.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-1 HT 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNSL
13.10.2021 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
3-1
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
2.26 xG 0.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
385 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan saw off Nantong Zhiyun 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 54% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 46%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.26 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shandong Taishan and 0.67 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Shandong Taishan 3-1 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 57%, draw 21%, Nantong Zhiyun 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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