Tamworth 0-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
16%
4.62
Away Pick
62%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.74
Over
57%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.59
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.76
2-3
41%
2.02
4-5
25%
2.43
6+
12%
5.18
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.76 — our 22% vs market 11.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.45
1/2
10%
18.45
1/X
7%
18.75
X/1
8%
14.25
X/2
23%
4.12
X/X
5%
7.95
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
29%
1.63
2/X
4%
16.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Tamworth The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY York City The Market 71%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.45 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.02
1.40 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.93
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
2W-2D-2L
AWAY York City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
1 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2025 York City York City 4-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
14.12.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
17.08.2024 York City York City 2-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
06.03.2012 York City York City 0-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
10.09.2011 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
16.04.2011 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
0-1
AWAY York City
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Tamworth vs York City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

York City squeezed past Tamworth 1-0 on their travels.

Just as the model leaned, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Tamworth had 32% of the ball to York City's 68%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tamworth and 1.50 for York City.

Tamworth vs York City Result & Final Score

Tamworth 0-1 York City in the England - National League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tamworth vs York City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 22%, draw 16%, York City 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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