Tamworth 1-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 31% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.82
1/2
11%
23.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
11%
9.15
X/2
15%
4.13
X/X
14%
5.37
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.27
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-12.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.45/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.91
+24% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
76 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 88 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
2W-2D-2L
AWAY York City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 York City York City 2-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
06.03.2012 York City York City 0-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
10.09.2011 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
16.04.2011 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
25.09.2010 Tamworth Tamworth 1-3 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
27.03.2010 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY York City
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
1 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and York City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tamworth had 37% of the ball to York City's 63%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tamworth and 1.33 for York City.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs York City?

Tamworth 1-1 York City in the England - National League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 32%, draw 27%, York City 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (York City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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