Oldham Athletic 3-2 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.5
X/1
9%
3.59
X/2
8%
13.15
X/X
14%
6.25
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
9%
10.55
2/X
5%
19.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.02/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.77
+7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Wealdstone
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
20.04.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-3 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
30.09.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
28.03.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-2 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
16.08.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
3-2
AWAY Wealdstone
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic squeezed past Wealdstone 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 52% of the ball to Wealdstone's 48%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wealdstone led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.60 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Wealdstone?

Oldham Athletic 3-2 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 51%, draw 26%, Wealdstone 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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