Wealdstone 0-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
7%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 34% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.88
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
13%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.78
X/2
11%
5.54
X/X
7%
4.4
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.65
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
1.67/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.21
+21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-3 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
30.09.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
28.03.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-2 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
16.08.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
0-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic edged past Wealdstone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Oldham Athletic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Wealdstone had 46% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 54%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wealdstone had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wealdstone and 1.50 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Oldham Athletic?

Wealdstone 0-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 35%, draw 29%, Oldham Athletic 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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