Eastleigh 4-2 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.26
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
10%
5.36
X/2
16%
6.23
X/X
14%
4.91
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.03
2/X
10%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.65/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.85
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
16.09.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
11.02.2020 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-2 HT 0-2 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
21.09.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
06.04.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 4-2 HT 1-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
08.09.2018 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
4-2
AWAY AFC Fylde
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh got the better of AFC Fylde 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Eastleigh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastleigh had 54% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 46%, shots finished 22-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eastleigh and 2.00 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde?

Eastleigh 4-2 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 32%, draw 32%, AFC Fylde 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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