Eastleigh 1-2 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Feb 2024

Eastleigh
1-2 HT 0-1
AFC Fylde
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
England - National League – 2023/2024

Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.43
1/2
9%
20.05
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
11%
8.31
X/2
10%
4.42
X/X
10%
6.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.29
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
25%
+11.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastleigh v AFC Fylde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -10%
1.38/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.27
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
213 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
11.02.2020 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-2 HT 0-2 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
21.09.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
06.04.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 4-2 HT 1-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
08.09.2018 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
03.02.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-2 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL

Eastleigh 1-2 AFC Fylde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-2
AWAY AFC Fylde
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde squeezed past Eastleigh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; AFC Fylde found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eastleigh had 53% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 47%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eastleigh and 2.00 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde?

Eastleigh 1-2 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 36%, draw 25%, AFC Fylde 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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