Altrincham 3-0 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
14%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.0
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
11%
14.75
X/1
14%
3.88
X/2
9%
10.6
X/X
9%
5.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.45
2/2
8%
8.11
2/X
6%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
2.42/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.97
+30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
3-0
AWAY Rochdale
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham swept aside Rochdale 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Altrincham had 48% of the ball to Rochdale's 52%, shots finished 16-20.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Rochdale?

Altrincham 3-0 Rochdale in the England - National League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 51%, draw 26%, Rochdale 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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