Southend United 0-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
15%
3.83
X/2
7%
9.03
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1
9%
23.75
2/2
9%
7.21
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.80/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.44
+3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY York City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 York City York City 3-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
11.02.2023 Southend United Southend United 0-2 HT 0-0 York City York City FAK
04.02.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
29.10.2022 York City York City 0-2 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
31.01.2015 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İN2
20.09.2014 York City York City 2-3 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
0-1
AWAY York City
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southend United vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City nicked a narrow win over Southend United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Southend United had 62% of the ball to York City's 38%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Southend United and 1.17 for York City.

What was the final score of Southend United vs York City?

Southend United 0-1 York City in the England - National League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Southend United 50%, draw 28%, York City 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Southend United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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