Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Halifax Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 33% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.25
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
10%
14.05
X/1
18%
5.66
X/2
7%
4.81
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
22%
3.38
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Halifax Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.47/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.90
+7% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
232 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Halifax Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Halifax Town Halifax Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
04.03.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
06.12.2022 Halifax Town Halifax Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-3
AWAY Halifax Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Halifax Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halifax Town beat Dorking Wanderers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Halifax Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 55% of the ball to Halifax Town's 45%, shots finished 8-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.00 for Halifax Town.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Halifax Town?

Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Halifax Town in the England - National League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Halifax Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 36%, draw 28%, Halifax Town 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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