Chesterfield vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chesterfield v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals
Chesterfield vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İBSL
4-0
HT 0-0
Ebbsfleet United
İBSL
2-2
HT 1-1
Chesterfield
İBSL
3-3
HT 0-3
Ebbsfleet United
İBSL
0-1
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İBSL
Chesterfield 2-2 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield and Ebbsfleet United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chesterfield at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Chesterfield had 63% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 37%, shots finished 13-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chesterfield had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Chesterfield and 1.00 for Ebbsfleet United.
What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Ebbsfleet United?
Chesterfield 2-2 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Ebbsfleet United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 58%, draw 22%, Ebbsfleet United 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chesterfield), BTTS No went the other way.