Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Aug 2024

Ebbsfleet United
1-2 HT 0-1
Barnet
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Ebbsfleet United vs Barnet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Barnet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
1.45/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.39
+14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Ebbsfleet United vs Barnet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barnet
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
28.08.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-2 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
26.11.2019 Barnet Barnet 5-2 HT 2-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.09.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
08.12.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
18.08.2018 Barnet Barnet 0-3 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Barnet — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-2
AWAY Barnet
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet edged past Ebbsfleet United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 31% of the ball to Barnet's 69%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.50 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Barnet?

Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Barnet in the England - National League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 34%, draw 25%, Barnet 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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