Sutton United 5-0 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 27% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.99
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.05
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
13%
6.77
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
13%
4.28
2/X
9%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.75/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.60
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
235 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Altrincham
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 0-4 HT 0-2 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
09.01.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
5-0
AWAY Altrincham
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United ran out comfortable winners over Altrincham 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sutton United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sutton United had 53% of the ball to Altrincham's 47%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sutton United and 1.00 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Altrincham?

Sutton United 5-0 Altrincham in the England - National League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 41%, draw 28%, Altrincham 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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