Braintree Town 0-1 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.2
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
8%
5.11
X/X
19%
3.84
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.78
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.9
Value flag · 2/X at 13.9 — our 9% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.19/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.64
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Yeovil
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İCON
28.10.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 1-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braintree Town
0-1
AWAY Yeovil
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil squeezed past Braintree Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Yeovil found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Braintree Town had 44% of the ball to Yeovil's 56%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yeovil led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Braintree Town and 1.50 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs Yeovil?

Braintree Town 0-1 Yeovil in the England - National League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 36%, draw 32%, Yeovil 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Braintree Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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