Barnet 4-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.37
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.33
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
29.5
X/1
18%
3.57
X/2
6%
30.0
X/X
6%
10.95
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
4%
21.7
2/X
6%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.4pp
18%
Draw
14%
+4.0pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 11%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
3.25/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.43
+32% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -18%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
102 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 62 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
16.12.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
28.08.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-2 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
26.11.2019 Barnet Barnet 5-2 HT 2-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.09.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
08.12.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
4-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
71% Ball Possession 29%
29 Total Shots 5
16 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet swept aside Ebbsfleet United 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Barnet had 71% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 29%, shots finished 29-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barnet and 1.67 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Ebbsfleet United?

Barnet 4-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Barnet 67%, draw 18%, Ebbsfleet United 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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