Eltham Redbacks 3-2 North Sunshine Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 11 Apr 2026

Eltham Redbacks
3-2
North Sunshine Eagles
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

Eltham Redbacks vs North Sunshine Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eltham Redbacks v North Sunshine Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eltham Redbacks EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY North Sunshine Eagles EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.00
-7% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +123%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
278 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Eltham Redbacks vs North Sunshine Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eltham Redbacks edged past North Sunshine Eagles 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eltham Redbacks as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Eltham Redbacks vs North Sunshine Eagles?

Eltham Redbacks 3-2 North Sunshine Eagles in the AVPL1 on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eltham Redbacks vs North Sunshine Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eltham Redbacks win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eltham Redbacks 41%, draw 27%, North Sunshine Eagles 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eltham Redbacks), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eltham Redbacks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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