Melbourne Victory II vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne Victory II v North Geelong Warriors — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne Victory II nicked a narrow win over North Geelong Warriors 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Melbourne Victory II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Melbourne Victory II vs North Geelong Warriors?
Melbourne Victory II 2-1 North Geelong Warriors in the AVPL1 on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory II vs North Geelong Warriors?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory II 39%, draw 28%, North Geelong Warriors 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.