Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neftçi PFK v Araz Nahçıvan — Team-Based Signals
Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
2-2
HT 1-1
Araz Nahçıvan
AZERS
1-1
HT 1-1
Araz Nahçıvan
AZERS
2-1
HT 1-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
0-1
HT 0-1
Araz Nahçıvan
AZERS
1-1
HT 1-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
Neftçi PFK edged past Araz Nahçıvan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neftçi PFK and 1.17 for Araz Nahçıvan.
What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan?
Neftçi PFK 2-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 72%, draw 17%, Araz Nahçıvan 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.