Shamakhi 0-0 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
67%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
11%
+2.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
67%
Away Win
71%
-3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 75%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.81/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.63
+37% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Karabağ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
04.03.2026 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
10.02.2026 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-2 HT 1-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
05.02.2026 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 2-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
26.10.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
17.01.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 2-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
19.12.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi and Karabağ played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karabağ at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shamakhi and 1.67 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Karabağ?

Shamakhi 0-0 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 13%, draw 20%, Karabağ 67%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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