Shamakhi vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shamakhi v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals
Shamakhi vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Karabağ
AZERS
Karabağ edged past Shamakhi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shamakhi and 1.50 for Karabağ.
What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Karabağ?
Shamakhi 1-2 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Karabağ?
Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 8%, draw 19%, Karabağ 72%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.