Neftçi PFK 1-0 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Feb 2026

Neftçi PFK
1-0 HT 1-0
Qabala
📅10/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Neftçi PFK vs Qabala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.03
No
45%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
55%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Neftçi PFK v Qabala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.78/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.59
+11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Neftçi PFK vs Qabala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Qabala
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12 Corners 6
The Meetings
26.10.2025 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
28.01.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
05.11.2023 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
27.08.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
03.06.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERK
14.04.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-2 HT 0-2 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK edged past Qabala 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Neftçi PFK and 0.67 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Qabala?

Neftçi PFK 1-0 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 51%, draw 28%, Qabala 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
10 Feb 2026
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