Neftçi PFK vs Qabala Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neftçi PFK v Qabala — Team-Based Signals
Neftçi PFK vs Qabala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
2-0
HT 1-0
Qabala
AZERS
0-1
HT 0-0
Qabala
AZERK
1-2
HT 0-2
Qabala
AZERS
0-0
HT 0-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
2-0
HT 1-0
Qabala
AZERS
Neftçi PFK beat Qabala 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Neftçi PFK and 0.50 for Qabala.
What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Qabala?
Neftçi PFK 3-1 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Qabala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 54%, draw 27%, Qabala 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.