Karabağ 0-0 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
17%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
72%
+1.9pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.3pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
2.49/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.18
+33% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
359 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Shamakhi
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 2-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
19.12.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
27.10.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
02.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
31.01.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
30.10.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-4 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ and Shamakhi played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karabağ at 74% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Karabağ and 0.50 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Shamakhi?

Karabağ 0-0 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 74%, draw 17%, Shamakhi 9%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
26 Oct 2025
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