Qabala 0-2 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

Qabala
0-2 HT 0-0
Neftçi PFK
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Qabala vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
28%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
58%
Away Win
54%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qabala v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 58%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
0.84/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.14
-13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Qabala vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
6 Corners 12
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
05.11.2023 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
27.08.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
03.06.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERK
14.04.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-2 HT 0-2 Qabala Qabala AZERS
10.02.2023 Qabala Qabala 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK got the better of Qabala 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Qabala and 1.33 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Neftçi PFK?

Qabala 0-2 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Qabala 21%, draw 22%, Neftçi PFK 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
26 Oct 2025
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