Shamakhi 0-1 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 19 Dec 2024

Shamakhi
0-1 HT 0-0
Karabağ
📅19/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Shamakhi vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
65%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
7%
+7.9pp
20%
Draw
15%
+4.7pp
66%
Away Win
78%
-12.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.1pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shamakhi v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 84%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +7%
0.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.62
-48% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +9%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
171 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 526 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Shamakhi vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Karabağ
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
32% Ball Possession 68%
2 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
02.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
31.01.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
30.10.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-4 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
27.08.2022 Karabağ Karabağ 4-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
15.04.2022 Karabağ Karabağ 8-0 HT 7-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ edged past Shamakhi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Shamakhi and 3.83 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Karabağ?

Shamakhi 0-1 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 15%, draw 20%, Karabağ 66%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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