Karabağ 3-0 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.18
Draw
26%
6.26
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
80%
-24.1pp
26%
Draw
13%
+12.5pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
2.68/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.25
+27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
492 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Shamakhi
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
31.01.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
30.10.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-4 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
27.08.2022 Karabağ Karabağ 4-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
15.04.2022 Karabağ Karabağ 8-0 HT 7-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
28.02.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ swept aside Shamakhi 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Karabağ and 0.17 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Shamakhi?

Karabağ 3-0 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 56%, draw 26%, Shamakhi 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
27 Oct 2024
16:00 Sabah vs Neftçi PFK Analysis →