Sabah 0-0 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Sabah win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.2pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.44/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.62
+11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-2 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
25.05.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.01.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
29.10.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
20.08.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
26.01.2023 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 2-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Neftçi PFK fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sabah and 0.17 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Neftçi PFK?

Sabah 0-0 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sabah 52%, draw 19%, Neftçi PFK 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sabah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
27 Oct 2024
18:00 Karabağ vs Shamakhi Analysis →