Shamakhi vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shamakhi v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals
Shamakhi vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Karabağ
AZERS
3-1
HT 1-0
Shamakhi
AZERS
Shamakhi squeezed past Karabağ 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karabağ at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shamakhi and 1.83 for Karabağ.
What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Karabağ?
Shamakhi 2-1 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Karabağ?
Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 13%, draw 20%, Karabağ 67%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No went the other way.