Cercle Brugge 3-0 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
13%
4.34
X/2
13%
8.35
X/X
16%
4.66
2/1
6%
24.35
2/2
14%
6.64
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
51%
-13.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.59/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.56
-19% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
24.7 Crosses 14.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
0W-0D-2L
AWAY La Louvière
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.94 xG 1.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 Passes 149
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
41 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-3 HT 0-1 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
02.11.2025 La Louvière La Louvière 2-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
3-0
AWAY La Louvière
2.66 xG 0.57
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
405 Passes 173
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
38 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge swept aside La Louvière 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Cercle Brugge made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 65% of the ball to La Louvière's 35%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.66 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, La Louvière led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cercle Brugge and 2.50 for La Louvière.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs La Louvière?

Cercle Brugge 3-0 La Louvière in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 37%, draw 29%, La Louvière 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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