Cercle Brugge 1-3 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.65
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
14%
7.62
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1
8%
24.35
2/2
11%
5.68
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.56/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
-19% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.4 Crosses 14.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY La Louvière
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.87 xG 0.80
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
454 Passes 139
82% Pass Accuracy 61%
31 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 La Louvière La Louvière 2-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-3
AWAY La Louvière
2.00 xG 1.96
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
364 Passes 159
80% Pass Accuracy 60%
51 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière beat Cercle Brugge 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 63% of the ball to La Louvière's 37%, shots finished 25-15, expected goals 2.00 to 1.96.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs La Louvière?

Cercle Brugge 1-3 La Louvière in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 45%, draw 23%, La Louvière 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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