Genk 1-0 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Mar 2026

Genk
1-0 HT 1-0
St. Truidense
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Genk vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 29% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
10%
6.72
X/X
12%
5.12
2/1
10%
23.1
2/2
12%
4.44
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genk v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.89/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.29
+27% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.4 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Genk vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-3D-0L
AWAY St. Truidense
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 1.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
441 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
07.01.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-4 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEK
01.12.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
20.10.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 3-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
28.01.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
24.09.2023 Genk Genk 3-3 HT 0-3 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Genk vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk nicked a narrow win over St. Truidense 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Genk and 1.50 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Genk vs St. Truidense?

Genk 1-0 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Genk 44%, draw 25%, St. Truidense 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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